Probably Football

Matches

Pro League (Saudi Arabia)

Thursday 22 October, 12:00

Final score

Al-Qadisiyah FC2-3Al-Hilal Saudi FC

The model's most likely result happened: a Al-Hilal Saudi FC win (41%).

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  1. Al-Qadisiyah FC34%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Al-Hilal Saudi FC41%

1.38 expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC

1.49 expected goals for Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.2 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 4.8 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners61%
  2. Over 9.5 corners50%
  3. Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.9 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 2.0 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards55%
  2. Over 4.5 cards36%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

26.2 expected

13.2 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 13.0 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots79%
  2. Over 22.5 shots68%
  3. Over 24.5 shots57%

Fouls

21.9 expected

10.8 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 11.0 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls59%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls43%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls29%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.