Thursday 22 October, 12:00
Final score
Al-Qadisiyah FC2-3Al-Hilal Saudi FC
The model's most likely result happened: a Al-Hilal Saudi FC win (41%).
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Al-Qadisiyah FC34%
- Draw25%
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC41%
1.38 expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC
1.49 expected goals for Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals16%It happened
- Both teams score59%
- Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw59%
- Draw or Al-Hilal Saudi FC66%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
5.2 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 4.8 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners50%
- Over 10.5 corners40%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.9 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 2.0 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Over 3.5 cards55%
- Over 4.5 cards36%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
26.2 expected
13.2 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 13.0 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Over 20.5 shots79%
- Over 22.5 shots68%
- Over 24.5 shots57%
Fouls
21.9 expected
10.8 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 11.0 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Over 20.5 fouls59%
- Over 22.5 fouls43%
- Over 24.5 fouls29%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.