Probably Football

Matches

Pro League (Saudi Arabia)

Thursday 22 October, 12:00

Final score

Al Kholood0-3Al-Ettifaq

The model's most likely result happened: a Al-Ettifaq win (41%).

Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq

  1. Al Kholood34%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Al-Ettifaq41%

1.45 expected goals for Al Kholood

1.56 expected goals for Al-Ettifaq

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.6 for Al Kholood and 4.2 for Al-Ettifaq

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.1 expected

2.1 for Al Kholood and 2.0 for Al-Ettifaq

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards40%
  3. Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

23.8 expected

12.6 for Al Kholood and 11.1 for Al-Ettifaq

  1. Over 20.5 shots67%
  2. Over 22.5 shots55%
  3. Over 24.5 shots43%

Fouls

22.8 expected

11.2 for Al Kholood and 11.6 for Al-Ettifaq

  1. Over 20.5 fouls66%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls51%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls36%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.