Thursday 22 October, 12:00
Final score
Al Kholood0-3Al-Ettifaq
The model's most likely result happened: a Al-Ettifaq win (41%).
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq
- Al Kholood34%
- Draw25%
- Al-Ettifaq41%
1.45 expected goals for Al Kholood
1.56 expected goals for Al-Ettifaq
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 9.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen
- Both teams score59%
- Al Kholood or draw59%
- Draw or Al-Ettifaq66%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.8 expected
5.6 for Al Kholood and 4.2 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 8.5 corners60%
- Over 9.5 corners49%
- Over 10.5 corners39%
Cards
4.1 expected
2.1 for Al Kholood and 2.0 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 3.5 cards59%
- Over 4.5 cards40%
- Over 5.5 cards24%
Shots
23.8 expected
12.6 for Al Kholood and 11.1 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 20.5 shots67%
- Over 22.5 shots55%
- Over 24.5 shots43%
Fouls
22.8 expected
11.2 for Al Kholood and 11.6 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 20.5 fouls66%
- Over 22.5 fouls51%
- Over 24.5 fouls36%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.