Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah

Al-Ittihad FC56%
Draw23%
Al Diriyah21%

1.94 expected goals for Al-Ittihad FC

1.10 expected goals for Al Diriyah

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al-Ittihad FC the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Both teams score58%
Al-Ittihad FC or draw79%
Draw or Al Diriyah44%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.0 for Al-Ittihad FC and 4.2 for Al Diriyah

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.9 for Al-Ittihad FC and 1.7 for Al Diriyah

Over 3.5 cards49%
Over 4.5 cards30%
Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

25.1 expected

15.1 for Al-Ittihad FC and 9.9 for Al Diriyah

Over 20.5 shots74%
Over 22.5 shots62%
Over 24.5 shots50%

Fouls

21.2 expected

11.1 for Al-Ittihad FC and 10.1 for Al Diriyah

Over 20.5 fouls54%
Over 22.5 fouls38%
Over 24.5 fouls25%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.