Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr

Al-Faisaly FC15%
Draw20%
Al-Nassr65%

1.06 expected goals for Al-Faisaly FC

2.37 expected goals for Al-Nassr

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al-Nassr the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals60%It happened
Over 3.5 goals45%It happened
Over 4.5 goals26%It did not happen

Both teams score59%
Al-Faisaly FC or draw35%
Draw or Al-Nassr85%
No draw80%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

4.7 for Al-Faisaly FC and 4.8 for Al-Nassr

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.0 expected

2.0 for Al-Faisaly FC and 2.0 for Al-Nassr

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

24.4 expected

9.6 for Al-Faisaly FC and 14.8 for Al-Nassr

Over 20.5 shots70%
Over 22.5 shots58%
Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

22.8 expected

10.2 for Al-Faisaly FC and 12.5 for Al-Nassr

Over 20.5 fouls66%
Over 22.5 fouls50%
Over 24.5 fouls36%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.