Tuesday 27 October, 09:00
Final score
Padova2-0Sudtirol
The model's most likely result happened: a Padova win (35%).
Padova vs Sudtirol
- Padova35%
- Draw35%
- Sudtirol30%
1.03 expected goals for Padova
0.96 expected goals for Sudtirol
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 35%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals60%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals45%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals14%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Padova or draw70%
- Draw or Sudtirol65%
- No draw65%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.9 for Padova and 4.2 for Sudtirol
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.4 for Padova and 2.4 for Sudtirol
- Over 3.5 cards53%
- Over 4.5 cards33%
- Over 5.5 cards18%
Shots
27.0 expected
15.3 for Padova and 11.7 for Sudtirol
- Over 20.5 shots82%
- Over 22.5 shots72%
- Over 24.5 shots61%
Fouls
23.3 expected
11.3 for Padova and 12.0 for Sudtirol
- Over 20.5 fouls69%
- Over 22.5 fouls54%
- Over 24.5 fouls39%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.