Palermo vs Carrarese

Palermo60%
Draw27%
Carrarese13%

1.94 expected goals for Palermo

0.80 expected goals for Carrarese

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Palermo the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Palermo or draw87%
Draw or Carrarese40%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.2 for Palermo and 4.4 for Carrarese

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Palermo and 2.2 for Carrarese

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

31.1 expected

21.2 for Palermo and 9.9 for Carrarese

Over 20.5 shots91%
Over 22.5 shots85%
Over 24.5 shots76%

Fouls

22.3 expected

10.5 for Palermo and 11.8 for Carrarese

Over 20.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls46%
Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.