Virtus Entella vs Mantova

Virtus Entella33%
Draw31%
Mantova36%

1.36 expected goals for Virtus Entella

1.51 expected goals for Mantova

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals32%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Virtus Entella or draw64%
Draw or Mantova67%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.3 for Virtus Entella and 4.0 for Mantova

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.8 for Virtus Entella and 2.1 for Mantova

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

26.1 expected

14.9 for Virtus Entella and 11.2 for Mantova

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots68%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

24.2 expected

11.7 for Virtus Entella and 12.5 for Mantova

Over 20.5 fouls75%
Over 22.5 fouls61%
Over 24.5 fouls46%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.