Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Provincial Osorno1-0Linares Unido

The model's most likely result happened: a Provincial Osorno win (39%).

Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido

  1. Provincial Osorno39%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Linares Unido35%

1.37 expected goals for Provincial Osorno

1.24 expected goals for Linares Unido

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals47%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.