Sunday 25 October, 08:00
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg W3-0FC Koln W
The model's most likely result happened: a VfL Wolfsburg W win (70%).
VfL Wolfsburg W vs FC Koln W
- VfL Wolfsburg W70%
- Draw15%
- FC Koln W15%
2.51 expected goals for VfL Wolfsburg W
1.10 expected goals for FC Koln W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes VfL Wolfsburg W the clear favourite: 70% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals49%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals30%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- VfL Wolfsburg W or draw85%
- Draw or FC Koln W30%
- No draw85%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
6.0 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 3.7 for FC Koln W
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
3.5 expected
1.3 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 2.2 for FC Koln W
- Over 3.5 cards47%
- Over 4.5 cards28%
- Over 5.5 cards15%
Shots
29.0 expected
18.9 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 10.1 for FC Koln W
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots79%
- Over 24.5 shots70%
Fouls
21.3 expected
10.6 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 10.7 for FC Koln W
- Over 20.5 fouls54%
- Over 22.5 fouls38%
- Over 24.5 fouls25%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.