Werder Bremen W vs SC Freiburg W

Werder Bremen W52%
Draw21%
SC Freiburg W27%

1.73 expected goals for Werder Bremen W

1.18 expected goals for SC Freiburg W

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Werder Bremen W has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 21% and a SC Freiburg W win at 27%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
Over 3.5 goals33%It happened
Over 4.5 goals17%It happened

Both teams score52%
Werder Bremen W or draw73%
Draw or SC Freiburg W48%
No draw79%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.8 for Werder Bremen W and 4.2 for SC Freiburg W

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.7 for Werder Bremen W and 2.1 for SC Freiburg W

Over 3.5 cards52%
Over 4.5 cards33%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

30.0 expected

16.0 for Werder Bremen W and 14.1 for SC Freiburg W

Over 20.5 shots90%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots75%

Fouls

23.8 expected

12.6 for Werder Bremen W and 11.2 for SC Freiburg W

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.