Sporting CP vs Maritimo

Sporting CP82%
Draw11%
Maritimo7%

2.95 expected goals for Sporting CP

0.75 expected goals for Maritimo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sporting CP the clear favourite: 82% to win. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 8.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals89%It happened
Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
Over 3.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals31%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Sporting CP or draw93%
Draw or Maritimo18%
No draw89%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.9 expected

5.0 for Sporting CP and 3.9 for Maritimo

Over 8.5 corners51%
Over 9.5 corners40%
Over 10.5 corners31%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.8 for Sporting CP and 2.4 for Maritimo

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

25.1 expected

15.6 for Sporting CP and 9.5 for Maritimo

Over 20.5 shots74%
Over 22.5 shots62%
Over 24.5 shots50%

Fouls

26.2 expected

11.4 for Sporting CP and 14.8 for Maritimo

Over 20.5 fouls84%
Over 22.5 fouls74%
Over 24.5 fouls60%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.