FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl

FC Viktoria Köln48%
Draw25%
Verl27%

1.92 expected goals for FC Viktoria Köln

1.32 expected goals for Verl

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Viktoria Köln has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Verl win at 27%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
Over 3.5 goals40%It happened
Over 4.5 goals23%It did not happen

Both teams score59%
FC Viktoria Köln or draw73%
Draw or Verl52%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.4 for FC Viktoria Köln and 4.8 for Verl

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.5 expected

1.9 for FC Viktoria Köln and 2.5 for Verl

Over 3.5 cards66%
Over 4.5 cards47%
Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

27.1 expected

16.0 for FC Viktoria Köln and 11.1 for Verl

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

22.3 expected

11.1 for FC Viktoria Köln and 11.2 for Verl

Over 20.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls47%
Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.