Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen

Stuttgart II32%
Draw25%
Alemannia Aachen43%

1.60 expected goals for Stuttgart II

2.14 expected goals for Alemannia Aachen

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Alemannia Aachen has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Stuttgart II win at 32%. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals89%It happened
Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
Over 3.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals32%It did not happen

Both teams score60%
Stuttgart II or draw57%
Draw or Alemannia Aachen68%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

4.6 for Stuttgart II and 4.7 for Alemannia Aachen

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.0 for Stuttgart II and 2.5 for Alemannia Aachen

Over 3.5 cards66%
Over 4.5 cards47%
Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

23.8 expected

12.5 for Stuttgart II and 11.3 for Alemannia Aachen

Over 20.5 shots68%
Over 22.5 shots56%
Over 24.5 shots43%

Fouls

25.6 expected

12.0 for Stuttgart II and 13.6 for Alemannia Aachen

Over 20.5 fouls82%
Over 22.5 fouls70%
Over 24.5 fouls56%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.