Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

Rot-Weiß Essen45%
Draw25%
SSV Jahn Regensburg30%

1.93 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Essen

1.46 expected goals for SSV Jahn Regensburg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Rot-Weiß Essen has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a SSV Jahn Regensburg win at 30%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals44%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals26%It did not happen

Both teams score59%
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw70%
Draw or SSV Jahn Regensburg55%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.2 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 4.3 for SSV Jahn Regensburg

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.1 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 2.4 for SSV Jahn Regensburg

Over 3.5 cards66%
Over 4.5 cards47%
Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

24.2 expected

15.0 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 9.3 for SSV Jahn Regensburg

Over 20.5 shots70%
Over 22.5 shots58%
Over 24.5 shots45%

Fouls

22.0 expected

10.6 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 11.4 for SSV Jahn Regensburg

Over 20.5 fouls60%
Over 22.5 fouls44%
Over 24.5 fouls30%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.