Saturday 24 October, 07:00
Final score
SV Meppen4-0Würzburger Kickers
The model's most likely result happened: a SV Meppen win (40%).
SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers
- SV Meppen40%
- Draw25%
- Würzburger Kickers35%
1.43 expected goals for SV Meppen
1.35 expected goals for Würzburger Kickers
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals30%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Both teams score58%
- SV Meppen or draw65%
- Draw or Würzburger Kickers60%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.8 for SV Meppen and 3.8 for Würzburger Kickers
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners47%
- Over 10.5 corners37%
Cards
4.6 expected
2.4 for SV Meppen and 2.2 for Würzburger Kickers
- Over 3.5 cards67%
- Over 4.5 cards49%
- Over 5.5 cards31%
Shots
26.3 expected
16.0 for SV Meppen and 10.3 for Würzburger Kickers
- Over 20.5 shots79%
- Over 22.5 shots69%
- Over 24.5 shots57%
Fouls
24.1 expected
12.7 for SV Meppen and 11.4 for Würzburger Kickers
- Over 20.5 fouls74%
- Over 22.5 fouls60%
- Over 24.5 fouls46%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.