Saturday 24 October, 07:00
Final score
Waldhof Mannheim4-1Hoffenheim II
The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Hoffenheim II win (39%).
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II
- Waldhof Mannheim36%
- Draw25%
- Hoffenheim II39%
1.64 expected goals for Waldhof Mannheim
1.83 expected goals for Hoffenheim II
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals58%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals46%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals27%It happened
- Both teams score60%
- Waldhof Mannheim or draw61%
- Draw or Hoffenheim II64%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
4.8 for Waldhof Mannheim and 4.8 for Hoffenheim II
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners47%
- Over 10.5 corners37%
Cards
4.3 expected
1.8 for Waldhof Mannheim and 2.5 for Hoffenheim II
- Over 3.5 cards63%
- Over 4.5 cards43%
- Over 5.5 cards27%
Shots
24.0 expected
10.8 for Waldhof Mannheim and 13.1 for Hoffenheim II
- Over 20.5 shots68%
- Over 22.5 shots56%
- Over 24.5 shots44%
Fouls
23.4 expected
11.5 for Waldhof Mannheim and 12.0 for Hoffenheim II
- Over 20.5 fouls70%
- Over 22.5 fouls55%
- Over 24.5 fouls40%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.