Ijsselmeervogels vs Spakenburg

Ijsselmeervogels43%
Draw23%
Spakenburg34%

1.43 expected goals for Ijsselmeervogels

1.21 expected goals for Spakenburg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ijsselmeervogels has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Spakenburg win at 34%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score55%
Ijsselmeervogels or draw67%
Draw or Spakenburg57%
No draw77%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.