Probably Football

Matches

Tweede Divisie (Netherlands)

Saturday 24 October, 08:30

Final score

AFC Amsterdam0-1Almere City II

The model gave this result 38%. Its most likely result was a AFC Amsterdam win (42%).

AFC Amsterdam vs Almere City II

  1. AFC Amsterdam42%
  2. Draw20%
  3. Almere City II38%

2.03 expected goals for AFC Amsterdam

1.98 expected goals for Almere City II

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 42%. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 70% chance, and both teams scoring, 66%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals91%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals70%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals57%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals37%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.