Probably Football

Matches

First League (Russia)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

FC UFA0-1Nizhny Novgorod

The model's most likely result happened: a Nizhny Novgorod win (62%).

FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod

  1. FC UFA16%
  2. Draw22%
  3. Nizhny Novgorod62%

0.89 expected goals for FC UFA

2.01 expected goals for Nizhny Novgorod

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Nizhny Novgorod the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals47%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.