Probably Football

Matches

First League (Russia)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Arsenal Tula4-3KAMAZ

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a KAMAZ win (41%).

Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ

  1. Arsenal Tula32%
  2. Draw27%
  3. KAMAZ41%

1.13 expected goals for Arsenal Tula

1.38 expected goals for KAMAZ

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

KAMAZ has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Arsenal Tula win at 32%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals72%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals11%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.