Torreense vs Amarante

Torreense43%
Draw27%
Amarante30%

1.58 expected goals for Torreense

1.16 expected goals for Amarante

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Torreense has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Amarante win at 30%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Torreense or draw70%
Draw or Amarante57%
No draw73%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.