Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Farense1-4Penafiel
The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Farense win (43%).
Farense vs Penafiel
- Farense43%
- Draw28%
- Penafiel29%
1.28 expected goals for Farense
0.89 expected goals for Penafiel
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Farense has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Penafiel win at 29%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals64%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals17%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals7%It happened
- Both teams score51%
- Farense or draw71%
- Draw or Penafiel57%
- No draw72%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.