Probably Football

Matches

Segunda Liga (Portugal)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Felgueiras 19322-2Lusitânia Lourosa

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Lusitânia Lourosa win (37%).

Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa

  1. Felgueiras 193235%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Lusitânia Lourosa37%

1.09 expected goals for Felgueiras 1932

1.07 expected goals for Lusitânia Lourosa

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals64%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.