Probably Football

Matches

Segunda Liga (Portugal)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

FC Porto B1-1União de Leiria

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a União de Leiria win (43%).

FC Porto B vs União de Leiria

  1. FC Porto B29%
  2. Draw28%
  3. União de Leiria43%

1.28 expected goals for FC Porto B

1.72 expected goals for União de Leiria

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

União de Leiria has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a FC Porto B win at 29%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.