Probably Football

Matches

Segunda Liga (Portugal)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Academica4-0Leixoes

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Leixoes win (41%).

Academica vs Leixoes

  1. Academica32%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Leixoes41%

1.32 expected goals for Academica

1.56 expected goals for Leixoes

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Leixoes has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Academica win at 32%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.