VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

VfL Osnabrück42%
Draw27%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth31%

1.48 expected goals for VfL Osnabrück

1.25 expected goals for SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

VfL Osnabrück has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win at 31%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score57%
VfL Osnabrück or draw69%
Draw or SpVgg Greuther Fürth58%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

4.6 for VfL Osnabrück and 6.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Over 8.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners59%
Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.2 for VfL Osnabrück and 2.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Over 3.5 cards65%
Over 4.5 cards46%
Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

28.3 expected

13.3 for VfL Osnabrück and 14.9 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

22.2 expected

10.9 for VfL Osnabrück and 11.4 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Over 20.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls46%
Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.