Probably Football

Matches

2. Bundesliga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 06:30

Final score

1. FC Magdeburg6-1Karlsruher SC

The model's most likely result happened: a 1. FC Magdeburg win (49%).

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC

  1. 1. FC Magdeburg49%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Karlsruher SC28%

2.15 expected goals for 1. FC Magdeburg

1.51 expected goals for Karlsruher SC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

1. FC Magdeburg has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Karlsruher SC win at 28%. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals50%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals30%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.5 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 4.6 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 2.2 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 3.5 cards57%
  2. Over 4.5 cards38%
  3. Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

27.8 expected

16.4 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 11.4 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 20.5 shots84%
  2. Over 22.5 shots75%
  3. Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

23.4 expected

11.2 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 12.2 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls70%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls55%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.