Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel37%
Draw28%
Dynamo Dresden35%

1.30 expected goals for Holstein Kiel

1.38 expected goals for Dynamo Dresden

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score57%
Holstein Kiel or draw65%
Draw or Dynamo Dresden63%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.5 for Holstein Kiel and 4.8 for Dynamo Dresden

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

5.4 expected

2.8 for Holstein Kiel and 2.6 for Dynamo Dresden

Over 3.5 cards78%
Over 4.5 cards62%
Over 5.5 cards45%

Shots

28.2 expected

16.8 for Holstein Kiel and 11.4 for Dynamo Dresden

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

24.4 expected

12.1 for Holstein Kiel and 12.3 for Dynamo Dresden

Over 20.5 fouls76%
Over 22.5 fouls62%
Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.