Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld

Hertha BSC47%
Draw25%
Arminia Bielefeld28%

1.84 expected goals for Hertha BSC

1.34 expected goals for Arminia Bielefeld

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Hertha BSC has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Arminia Bielefeld win at 28%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 11.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Both teams score59%
Hertha BSC or draw72%
Draw or Arminia Bielefeld53%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.1 expected

6.1 for Hertha BSC and 5.0 for Arminia Bielefeld

Over 8.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners62%
Over 10.5 corners52%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.2 for Hertha BSC and 2.2 for Arminia Bielefeld

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

31.9 expected

21.4 for Hertha BSC and 10.5 for Arminia Bielefeld

Over 20.5 shots92%
Over 22.5 shots87%
Over 24.5 shots79%

Fouls

24.6 expected

12.2 for Hertha BSC and 12.3 for Arminia Bielefeld

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls63%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.