Probably Football

Matches

2. Bundesliga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 06:30

Final score

SV Darmstadt 980-0FC St. Pauli

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a FC St. Pauli win (37%).

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli

  1. SV Darmstadt 9834%
  2. Draw29%
  3. FC St. Pauli37%

1.13 expected goals for SV Darmstadt 98

1.34 expected goals for FC St. Pauli

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

5.3 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 5.5 for FC St. Pauli

  1. Over 8.5 corners69%
  2. Over 9.5 corners59%
  3. Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.1 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 2.4 for FC St. Pauli

  1. Over 3.5 cards66%
  2. Over 4.5 cards47%
  3. Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

27.2 expected

13.0 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 14.2 for FC St. Pauli

  1. Over 20.5 shots82%
  2. Over 22.5 shots73%
  3. Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

26.2 expected

12.4 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 13.7 for FC St. Pauli

  1. Over 20.5 fouls84%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls74%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls60%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.