Santa Clara vs Benfica

Santa Clara10%
Draw15%
Benfica75%

0.78 expected goals for Santa Clara

2.35 expected goals for Benfica

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Benfica the clear favourite: 75% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
Santa Clara or draw25%
Draw or Benfica90%
No draw85%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.4 for Santa Clara and 5.0 for Benfica

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.3 for Santa Clara and 2.5 for Benfica

Over 3.5 cards71%
Over 4.5 cards53%
Over 5.5 cards35%

Shots

24.6 expected

13.8 for Santa Clara and 10.9 for Benfica

Over 20.5 shots72%
Over 22.5 shots60%
Over 24.5 shots48%

Fouls

25.1 expected

13.3 for Santa Clara and 11.8 for Benfica

Over 20.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls67%
Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.