Rio Ave vs Famalicao

Rio Ave20%
Draw28%
Famalicao52%

0.89 expected goals for Rio Ave

1.47 expected goals for Famalicao

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Famalicao has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Rio Ave win at 20%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
Over 3.5 goals21%It happened
Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Both teams score48%
Rio Ave or draw48%
Draw or Famalicao80%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.0 for Rio Ave and 4.8 for Famalicao

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for Rio Ave and 2.2 for Famalicao

Over 3.5 cards57%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

23.9 expected

12.2 for Rio Ave and 11.7 for Famalicao

Over 20.5 shots68%
Over 22.5 shots56%
Over 24.5 shots44%

Fouls

24.6 expected

12.3 for Rio Ave and 12.3 for Famalicao

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls64%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.