Probably Football

Matches

Bundesliga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 08:30

Final score

1. FC Köln0-0FC Schalke 04

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a 1. FC Köln win (37%).

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

  1. 1. FC Köln37%
  2. Draw29%
  3. FC Schalke 0434%

1.26 expected goals for 1. FC Köln

1.23 expected goals for FC Schalke 04

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals72%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.7 expected

6.4 for 1. FC Köln and 4.2 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 8.5 corners68%
  2. Over 9.5 corners58%
  3. Over 10.5 corners48%

Cards

4.1 expected

2.0 for 1. FC Köln and 2.1 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 3.5 cards58%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

29.4 expected

18.0 for 1. FC Köln and 11.4 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 20.5 shots88%
  2. Over 22.5 shots81%
  3. Over 24.5 shots72%

Fouls

21.4 expected

10.4 for 1. FC Köln and 11.0 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 20.5 fouls55%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls39%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls26%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.