SC Freiburg vs Bayern München

SC Freiburg16%
Draw18%
Bayern München66%

1.47 expected goals for SC Freiburg

3.34 expected goals for Bayern München

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Bayern München the clear favourite: 66% to win. It expects 4.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, and both teams scoring, 70%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
Over 1.5 goals95%It happened
Over 2.5 goals77%It happened
Over 3.5 goals71%It happened
Over 4.5 goals52%It did not happen

Both teams score70%
SC Freiburg or draw34%
Draw or Bayern München85%
No draw82%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.2 for SC Freiburg and 5.0 for Bayern München

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for SC Freiburg and 2.1 for Bayern München

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

28.3 expected

13.7 for SC Freiburg and 14.6 for Bayern München

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

21.8 expected

10.3 for SC Freiburg and 11.5 for Bayern München

Over 20.5 fouls59%
Over 22.5 fouls43%
Over 24.5 fouls29%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.