Saturday 24 October, 08:30
Final score
VfB Stuttgart2-3Borussia Mönchengladbach
The model gave this result 13%. Its most likely result was a VfB Stuttgart win (66%).
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
- VfB Stuttgart66%
- Draw21%
- Borussia Mönchengladbach13%
2.56 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart
0.99 expected goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes VfB Stuttgart the clear favourite: 66% to win. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 65% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals65%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals47%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals28%It happened
- Both teams score59%
- VfB Stuttgart or draw87%
- Draw or Borussia Mönchengladbach34%
- No draw79%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.6 expected
6.0 for VfB Stuttgart and 4.5 for Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Over 8.5 corners67%
- Over 9.5 corners57%
- Over 10.5 corners47%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.7 for VfB Stuttgart and 2.3 for Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Over 3.5 cards57%
- Over 4.5 cards38%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
33.9 expected
21.1 for VfB Stuttgart and 12.8 for Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Over 20.5 shots95%
- Over 22.5 shots91%
- Over 24.5 shots86%
Fouls
23.9 expected
10.2 for VfB Stuttgart and 13.7 for Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Over 20.5 fouls73%
- Over 22.5 fouls59%
- Over 24.5 fouls44%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.