Sevilla vs Osasuna

Sevilla47%
Draw27%
Osasuna26%

1.70 expected goals for Sevilla

1.29 expected goals for Osasuna

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Sevilla has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Osasuna win at 26%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 8.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score57%
Sevilla or draw74%
Draw or Osasuna53%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.7 expected

5.1 for Sevilla and 3.6 for Osasuna

Over 8.5 corners49%
Over 9.5 corners38%
Over 10.5 corners29%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.1 for Sevilla and 2.3 for Osasuna

Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

24.8 expected

15.2 for Sevilla and 9.7 for Osasuna

Over 20.5 shots73%
Over 22.5 shots61%
Over 24.5 shots49%

Fouls

25.7 expected

12.8 for Sevilla and 12.9 for Osasuna

Over 20.5 fouls82%
Over 22.5 fouls71%
Over 24.5 fouls57%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.