Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Real Sociedad2-1Levante
The model's most likely result happened: a Real Sociedad win (64%).
Real Sociedad vs Levante
- Real Sociedad64%
- Draw19%
- Levante17%
2.66 expected goals for Real Sociedad
1.50 expected goals for Levante
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Real Sociedad the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 4.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance, and both teams scoring, 67%. And about 10.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals69%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals60%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals40%It did not happen
- Both teams score67%
- Real Sociedad or draw83%
- Draw or Levante36%
- No draw81%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.7 for Real Sociedad and 4.3 for Levante
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.8 for Real Sociedad and 2.1 for Levante
- Over 3.5 cards54%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
30.1 expected
17.4 for Real Sociedad and 12.7 for Levante
- Over 20.5 shots90%
- Over 22.5 shots83%
- Over 24.5 shots75%
Fouls
22.6 expected
11.8 for Real Sociedad and 10.9 for Levante
- Over 20.5 fouls65%
- Over 22.5 fouls49%
- Over 24.5 fouls35%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.