Probably Football

Matches

La Liga (Spain)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Celta Vigo0-0Real Betis

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Real Betis win (39%).

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

  1. Celta Vigo33%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Real Betis39%

1.25 expected goals for Celta Vigo

1.48 expected goals for Real Betis

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.0 for Celta Vigo and 4.2 for Real Betis

  1. Over 8.5 corners54%
  2. Over 9.5 corners43%
  3. Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.0 for Celta Vigo and 2.2 for Real Betis

  1. Over 3.5 cards60%
  2. Over 4.5 cards41%
  3. Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

26.9 expected

12.7 for Celta Vigo and 14.2 for Real Betis

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots72%
  3. Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

26.5 expected

14.1 for Celta Vigo and 12.4 for Real Betis

  1. Over 20.5 fouls86%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls75%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls62%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.