Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna

Atletico Madrid70%
Draw21%
Deportivo La Coruna9%

2.12 expected goals for Atletico Madrid

0.78 expected goals for Deportivo La Coruna

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Atletico Madrid the clear favourite: 70% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Atletico Madrid or draw91%
Draw or Deportivo La Coruna31%
No draw79%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

6.0 for Atletico Madrid and 4.1 for Deportivo La Coruna

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.0 expected

2.0 for Atletico Madrid and 2.0 for Deportivo La Coruna

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.4 expected

18.3 for Atletico Madrid and 9.1 for Deportivo La Coruna

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

23.3 expected

12.1 for Atletico Madrid and 11.2 for Deportivo La Coruna

Over 20.5 fouls69%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.