Tenerife vs FC Andorra
- Tenerife36%
- Draw28%
- FC Andorra36%
1.15 expected goals for Tenerife
1.40 expected goals for FC Andorra
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the FC Andorra attack, which scores 27% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Tenerife attack, which scores 19% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.7 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Tenerife
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Tenerife attack−19%
- FC Andorra defence−6%
Expected goals1.15
FC Andorra
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- FC Andorra attack+27%
- Tenerife defence−19%
Expected goals1.40
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%
- Over 1.5 goals73%
- Over 2.5 goals44%
- Over 3.5 goals25%
- Over 4.5 goals12%
- Both teams score50%
- Tenerife or draw64%
- Draw or FC Andorra64%
- No draw72%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.7 expected
5.9 for Tenerife and 3.8 for FC Andorra
- Over 8.5 corners59%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
4.8 expected
1.9 for Tenerife and 2.9 for FC Andorra
- Over 3.5 cards71%
- Over 4.5 cards53%
- Over 5.5 cards36%
Shots
24.8 expected
14.5 for Tenerife and 10.3 for FC Andorra
- Over 20.5 shots73%
- Over 22.5 shots61%
- Over 24.5 shots49%
Fouls
27.4 expected
11.4 for Tenerife and 15.9 for FC Andorra
- Over 20.5 fouls89%
- Over 22.5 fouls80%
- Over 24.5 fouls68%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.