Eldense vs Granada CF
- Eldense36%
- Draw27%
- Granada CF37%
1.26 expected goals for Eldense
1.53 expected goals for Granada CF
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Granada CF attack, which scores 24% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Granada CF defence, which lets in 14% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.2 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Eldense
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Eldense attack−3%
- Granada CF defence−14%
Expected goals1.26
Granada CF
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Granada CF attack+24%
- Eldense defence−9%
Expected goals1.53
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Over 3.5 goals31%
- Over 4.5 goals15%
- Both teams score52%
- Eldense or draw63%
- Draw or Granada CF64%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.2 expected
5.0 for Eldense and 5.2 for Granada CF
- Over 8.5 corners64%
- Over 9.5 corners53%
- Over 10.5 corners43%
Cards
5.3 expected
3.0 for Eldense and 2.4 for Granada CF
- Over 3.5 cards78%
- Over 4.5 cards62%
- Over 5.5 cards44%
Shots
26.5 expected
13.8 for Eldense and 12.7 for Granada CF
- Over 20.5 shots80%
- Over 22.5 shots70%
- Over 24.5 shots59%
Fouls
26.6 expected
14.2 for Eldense and 12.5 for Granada CF
- Over 20.5 fouls86%
- Over 22.5 fouls76%
- Over 24.5 fouls63%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.