Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Las Palmas1-0Real Sociedad II
The model's most likely result happened: a Las Palmas win (55%).
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II
- Las Palmas55%
- Draw25%
- Real Sociedad II20%
2.02 expected goals for Las Palmas
1.22 expected goals for Real Sociedad II
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Las Palmas the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals84%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals41%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals23%It did not happen
- Both teams score54%
- Las Palmas or draw80%
- Draw or Real Sociedad II45%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
5.4 for Las Palmas and 4.5 for Real Sociedad II
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners50%
- Over 10.5 corners40%
Cards
4.8 expected
2.2 for Las Palmas and 2.6 for Real Sociedad II
- Over 3.5 cards71%
- Over 4.5 cards53%
- Over 5.5 cards36%
Shots
27.6 expected
16.4 for Las Palmas and 11.2 for Real Sociedad II
- Over 20.5 shots83%
- Over 22.5 shots74%
- Over 24.5 shots64%
Fouls
28.5 expected
11.7 for Las Palmas and 16.8 for Real Sociedad II
- Over 20.5 fouls92%
- Over 22.5 fouls84%
- Over 24.5 fouls74%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.