Granada CF vs Valladolid

Granada CF48%
Draw27%
Valladolid25%

1.64 expected goals for Granada CF

1.23 expected goals for Valladolid

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Granada CF has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Valladolid win at 25%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
Over 3.5 goals32%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Granada CF or draw75%
Draw or Valladolid52%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.3 for Granada CF and 4.0 for Valladolid

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

4.9 expected

2.0 for Granada CF and 2.9 for Valladolid

Over 3.5 cards72%
Over 4.5 cards54%
Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

28.0 expected

16.1 for Granada CF and 11.9 for Valladolid

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots76%
Over 24.5 shots66%

Fouls

27.7 expected

12.7 for Granada CF and 15.0 for Valladolid

Over 20.5 fouls90%
Over 22.5 fouls81%
Over 24.5 fouls70%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.