Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
FC Andorra2-3Burgos
The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a FC Andorra win (36%).
FC Andorra vs Burgos
- FC Andorra36%
- Draw30%
- Burgos34%
1.01 expected goals for FC Andorra
1.17 expected goals for Burgos
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals65%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals40%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals18%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals7%It happened
- Both teams score47%
- FC Andorra or draw66%
- Draw or Burgos64%
- No draw70%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.5 for FC Andorra and 4.6 for Burgos
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners53%
- Over 10.5 corners43%
Cards
5.2 expected
2.5 for FC Andorra and 2.8 for Burgos
- Over 3.5 cards77%
- Over 4.5 cards60%
- Over 5.5 cards43%
Shots
25.5 expected
13.5 for FC Andorra and 12.0 for Burgos
- Over 20.5 shots76%
- Over 22.5 shots65%
- Over 24.5 shots53%
Fouls
28.5 expected
15.0 for FC Andorra and 13.5 for Burgos
- Over 20.5 fouls92%
- Over 22.5 fouls84%
- Over 24.5 fouls74%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.