Reading vs Barnsley

Reading64%
Draw19%
Barnsley17%

2.55 expected goals for Reading

1.09 expected goals for Barnsley

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Reading the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 11.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
Over 3.5 goals49%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals30%It did not happen

Both teams score55%
Reading or draw84%
Draw or Barnsley36%
No draw81%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.0 expected

6.7 for Reading and 4.3 for Barnsley

Over 8.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners61%
Over 10.5 corners51%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.1 for Reading and 2.2 for Barnsley

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

29.7 expected

16.6 for Reading and 13.1 for Barnsley

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

24.7 expected

11.3 for Reading and 13.4 for Barnsley

Over 20.5 fouls78%
Over 22.5 fouls64%
Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.