Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday

Doncaster40%
Draw27%
Sheffield Wednesday33%

1.19 expected goals for Doncaster

1.09 expected goals for Sheffield Wednesday

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
Doncaster or draw67%
Draw or Sheffield Wednesday60%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

5.4 for Doncaster and 5.2 for Sheffield Wednesday

Over 8.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners58%
Over 10.5 corners48%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.1 for Doncaster and 2.1 for Sheffield Wednesday

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

28.0 expected

14.5 for Doncaster and 13.5 for Sheffield Wednesday

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

22.9 expected

11.3 for Doncaster and 11.6 for Sheffield Wednesday

Over 20.5 fouls67%
Over 22.5 fouls51%
Over 24.5 fouls37%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.