Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

Burton Albion40%
Draw27%
Leyton Orient33%

1.19 expected goals for Burton Albion

1.06 expected goals for Leyton Orient

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals66%It happened
Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
Burton Albion or draw67%
Draw or Leyton Orient60%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.9 expected

6.3 for Burton Albion and 4.6 for Leyton Orient

Over 8.5 corners70%
Over 9.5 corners60%
Over 10.5 corners50%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.0 for Burton Albion and 2.4 for Leyton Orient

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

25.7 expected

14.3 for Burton Albion and 11.4 for Leyton Orient

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots66%
Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

23.6 expected

11.8 for Burton Albion and 11.8 for Leyton Orient

Over 20.5 fouls71%
Over 22.5 fouls56%
Over 24.5 fouls41%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.