Probably Football

Matches

League One (England)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Bromley1-1Peterborough

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Peterborough win (41%).

Bromley vs Peterborough

  1. Bromley34%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Peterborough41%

1.42 expected goals for Bromley

1.65 expected goals for Peterborough

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals37%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

4.9 for Bromley and 5.6 for Peterborough

  1. Over 8.5 corners67%
  2. Over 9.5 corners57%
  3. Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.9 for Bromley and 2.1 for Peterborough

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards36%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.7 expected

13.7 for Bromley and 14.1 for Peterborough

  1. Over 20.5 shots84%
  2. Over 22.5 shots75%
  3. Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

25.1 expected

12.3 for Bromley and 12.8 for Peterborough

  1. Over 20.5 fouls80%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls67%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls53%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.